IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2022 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2022 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: By 2024, 45% of National Governments Will Create National Policies to Safeguard Trust, Bolstering Digital Resiliency, Electoral Fairness, and Economic Viability

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: By 2024, Governments Will Combine Trusted Data Sharing and Intelligent Process Automation to Provide 25% of Government Services Proactively, Making Bureaucracy Invisible to Constituents

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: By 2024, 60% of Agencies Will Deploy No-Code/Low-Code Platforms to Aid IT and Non-IT Staff and Swiftly Roll Out Digital Programs and Constituent Services

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: In 2022, the European Union Will Lead Digital and Data Sovereignty, with 75% of EU Members Spending 15% of Digital Recovery Funds to Build Digital Sovereign ICT Infrastructure and Resilient Technology

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: Led by the United States, by 2022, Zero Trust Architecture Will Grow by 50% to Protect National Security in Democratic and Autocratic Nations

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: As Nations Face Growing Climate Risks, by 2026, 60% of the World's Military Will Experience Threats to National Security from Social System Disruptions Due to Climate Change

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: By 2025, 45% of Government Agencies Will Require Managed Security Services to Protect Against Cybersecurity Threats

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: By 2024, 30% of Governments Globally Will Double Investments in Data Protection, Data Governance, and Data Sharing Capabilities to Orchestrate a Digital Ecosystem and Speed Up the Launch of New Services

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2027, the Race for Lead of Future Economies Will Impel 40% of Governments to Invest in Quantum Computing to Gain Unimaginable Compute Abilities That Solve National and Global Challenges

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2025, 70% of Agencies Will Support a Hybrid Workforce at Scale, Overcoming Technical Debt and Moving Beyond Protecting the Perimeter to Securing Workers Anywhere

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• Pervasive Disruption Continues — Volatility, Opportunity, and Resilience

• Geopolitical Risk — Societal and Economic Tensions Irrupt

• Cybersecurity and Risk — The Threat Environment Just Keeps Scaling

• Digital Ecosystem — Thriving in a Multiplatform World

• Engagement Reimagined — From Responsive to Anticipatory

• Workforce Outlook — Redefining Teams, Reinventing Models, and Rethinking Leadership

• Environmental and Social Responsibility — A New Stakeholder-Driven Imperative

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